Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.315649 0.422467 0.540270 0.677641 0.831481 0.996770 1.186201
2025-05-18 0.169395 0.304900 0.474336 0.690379 0.949408 1.242722 1.593486
2025-05-25 0.081442 0.209526 0.392223 0.643938 0.961852 1.335214 1.794148
2025-06-01 0.030051 0.137866 0.321151 0.595754 0.960367 1.402701 1.959182
2025-06-08 0.008406 0.096263 0.279394 0.575644 0.985428 1.495070 2.147220
2025-06-15 0.001564 0.076185 0.265529 0.590314 1.052567 1.637019 2.393119
2025-06-22 NaN 0.053790 0.239817 0.582735 1.086763 1.735498 2.584490
2025-06-29 NaN 0.034110 0.210682 0.564873 1.103595 1.809655 2.744268
2025-07-06 NaN 0.029423 0.214012 0.598709 1.192285 1.975971 3.018058
2025-07-13 NaN 0.026848 0.221848 0.639789 1.291209 2.155654 3.308717
2025-07-20 NaN 0.023675 0.226681 0.675269 1.381935 2.324658 3.586180
2025-07-27 NaN 0.024573 0.244213 0.733172 1.505383 2.536830 3.918120
2025-08-03 NaN 0.021436 0.249314 0.772094 1.606034 2.725392 4.228836
2025-08-10 NaN 0.014665 0.238245 0.781545 1.664164 2.859258 4.472818
2025-08-17 NaN 0.004649 0.198531 0.733044 1.633307 2.872811 4.562786
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000258 0.160688 0.681091 1.593269 2.871440 4.631740
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.139927 0.659583 1.597435 2.927850 4.772772
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.136612 0.675314 1.659912 3.063907 5.016468
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.123627 0.667183 1.683456 3.145882 5.189885
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.107237 0.647990 1.687750 3.200381 5.327055
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.113039 0.684328 1.783301 3.382350 5.630731
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.121805 0.728357 1.891679 3.582422 5.958270
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.128188 0.766312 1.990108 3.768695 6.267949